Re: The real housing crisis is one of quantityOn May 4, 4:37 am, drydem <walter ...@my-deja,com > wrote:
> On Apr 21, 8:03 pm, "Matt W. Barrow" <mbar...@performancehomes,com >
> wrote:
>
> > Can you support your points below, or are you just throwing out you opinion?
>
> Oh no!
> I hope you don't think I'm ranting... (9 9)
>
> My points are an empircal observation. I'm involved in
> urban planning and local governing affairs
>
> I occassionally testify at government hearings as well....
>
> Locally builders have been able to opt out of building
> affordable housing units ( until recently) by paying into
> Affordable housing Fund. Developers could make much
> more money by just opting out of building affording
> housing units. However, the fund generated by this opt out
> fee has never been enough for the local government to build
> any new affordable housing projects/complexes ( especially with
> rising land prices and higher construction cost). Since new
> affordable housing units are now even more costlier to make
> than in the past -- builders when they do make them also
> can only make a few of them. Thus there hasn't been much
> in additional affordable housing construction in my county
> for about 20 years. Only recently the law was revised such that
> builder/developers are now required to build Moderatedly Priced
> Dwelling Units (MPDUs) and may NOT opt out -- but since
> new construction permits has gone bust - this might
> be a case of closing the barn door after the cows
> have left.
>
> At the local level, I've also witnessed
> residents from local communities resist the inclusion
> of MPDUs near their communities because they fear it would
> decrease the value of their homes.
There are a bunch of studies out there about the impact of affordable
housing on the values of nearby homes. Most studies found no impact
whatsoever. One study found that there was a slight reduction in the
INCREASE in housing value for housing within 300' of an affordable
complex -- but the impact was negligible.
>
> The lack of new affordable housing construction would not be
> such a severe problem if it weren't for the lost of current
> affordable
> housing. The currently the bulk of affordable housing consist
> of local apartment complexes but the current housing/real estate trend
> has been of the conversion of these apartments ( which have
> affordable rents) to luxury condos (which require a large amount of
> capital but have high monthy fees) . So you not only have the
> failure to create an adequate supply of new affordable housing
> units but you have the lost of existing affordable housing units.
> Luxury condos provide a higher profit margin than affordable
> co-ops - So Co-ops are not very popular here. One of the
> initiatives being advocated recently here is to stop the loss
> of older affordable housing units by using the affordable housing
> fund to buying apartments that provide affordable housing units
> that would otherwise be converted into condoniums.
One of the biggest problems is that the LIHC program is not-that much
more than 15 years old and the initial projects were on 15 year
regulatory periods. In appreciating markets, a lot of these complexes
are going to market. There is a similar problem with the Section 8
project-based complexes including a lot of USDA RD complexes.
Another issue overlooked almost completely are the Section 142 bond
projects where they use a huge amount of cap to produce relatively few
affordable units and end up subsidizing the non-affordable units --
the so-called 80/20 projects.
>
> While housing cost have dropped - they are still very high
> especially when considering the interest being charge
> on the mortgage. It seems to me that the people
> who have (re)financed their homes in my region in
> the last 3 years who are mainly at risk with respect
> to this currently troubling financial climate. I've heard
> that atleast some of the current troubles have to do
> with loans generated by mortgage brokers and
> the lack of verification( of financial data by) financial
> institutions. The main reason for this financial subterfuge
> is to make a mortgage/home affordable (or appear to
> be more affordable ).
No, they weren't trying to make homes affordable. They were trying to
allow people to speculate and to buy a home in the homes of "growing
into the mortgage". Affordability wasn't a concern.
However, this has had an impact of affordable multi-family development
because it has taken financial instituations out of the market for
LIHCs and has driven it down to companies looking for a highe yield.
That has brought the pricing down significantly and therefore has make
many project infeasible.
>
> I've notice in my community that most of the
> housing assistance has gone to single parent families,
> e.g. a mom with atleast one child. I've also notice that
> many households in my locale ( the Washington DC
> Metro Areas ) often solve the demand for higher
> housing cost by having multiple earners.
the number one thing someone could do to get affordable housing is to
increase the amount of land where one can build multifamily. You have
a construction boom and it will include affordable units after the
initial boom of high-end stuff. Open up othe markets and let the
markets get into balance.
>
>
>
> > "drydem" <walter ...@my-deja,com > wrote in message
>
> >news:00774819-a011-4312-92c8-8e564e14e876@a23g2000hsc.googlegroups,com ...
> > On Apr 19, 3:29 pm, Enough Already <enough alre...@lycos,com > wrote:
>
> > > The REAL housing crisis is that TOO MANY of them are being built every
> > > day, bad mortgages or not.
>
> > I disagree.
>
> > It's not how many
> > but what type of housing.
> > It's part of a built in market inefficiency
> > There are plenty of houses for the very rich.
> > However, there are very few options for the working poor.
> > Because there is a higher profit to be made making housing for the
> > very rich
> > all the builders made houses for the very rich.
> > Because there is a very low propfit for making housing for the working
> > poor
> > all the builders avoid making housing for the average working stiff.
> > Unfortunately this led to a glut of overpriced homes
> > because the world doesn't have enough rich people
> > and a lack of affordable homes
> > for the average working family....
> > this environment encourages/forces average family into a
> > housing market where they must +buy up+ to afford housing
> > often forcing them to extend their credit to buy a
> > place to live...this inturn creates a financial market
> > full of risky instruments. All it takes is inflationary pressures
> > or a a recession to cause these risky instruments to fail
> > en mass. -- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -