Re: If the state isn't willing, localities are.
"Robert" <no@e.mail> wrote in message
>>>>
>>>>But you said Pharma was out of it. Insurance has a lot of money.
>>>
>>> Pharma is out of organizing. They still have as much clout as ever.
>>>
>>>>How about New York? Don't they support bars? It's been 5 years.
>>>
>>> My guess is that New York bars are up. They sell foo-foo drinks to
>>> effete
>>> trendies and
>>> tourists .. watermelon juice with Midori and organic blackberries, $12
>>> ..
>>> would you like
>>> foudue or sushi with that? Gimme a break. Comparing New York bars to
>>> real
>>> bars is apples
>>> and oranges.
>>
>>
>>Hmm. Odd that when there is data that you can somehow interpret to support
>>your position you are right on top of it, but otherwise you "guess". In
>>this
>>case I suspect you know more than you care to let on.
>
> Most US bars provide a place for LOCALS to socialize, analogous to British
> pubs. Bars in
> urban business districts, like southern Manhattan, serve a different
> function, therefore
> are not a good measure of smoking ban effect. Bars in Brooklyn and Queens,
> where people
> live, are a fair measure. Queens, with a population of 2.2 million, is
> bigger than most
> cities and a few states.
Ah, a rationale for your cherry picking. Whatever...
>
> Queens NY
> 2003 2006 %change
> Industry code 44__ (retail trade)
> Establishments 6,489 6,723 4
> Employees 52,555 53,710 2
>
> Industry code 72__ (accomodation and food services)
> Establishments 3,283 3,532 8
> Employees 29,392 31,365 7
>
> Industry code 7221 (full service restaurants)
> Establishments 1,189 1,299 9
> Employees 8,739 9,187 5
>
> Industry code 7224 (bars)
> Establishments 361 316 -12
> Employees 1,092 897 -18
>
> Bars declined 25%, relative to the accomodations industry.
> The ratio of bars to restaurants declined from 30% to 24% (the national
> ratio is 22%).
>
> Was this a continuation of a downtrend unrelated to smoking?
> Let's look at the trend before smoking was banned:
>
> 1998 2002
> Industry code 7224 (bars)
> Establishments 325 356 10
> Employees 795 1,032 30
>
> The bar industry in Queens was expanding before the ban, reversed
> direction in 2003 and
> has been shrinking since.
And absolutely nothing else happened near that time period that might have
influenced business? No stricter enforcement of Drinking/Driving laws? (MADD
claims they have saved 25,000 lives. I haven't read the fine print so I
don't know what time period they are referring to.) No increase in the price
of fuel? No increased concern over the effect of going into Iraq on the
economy? No increased preference for healthier lifestyle? Seems to me that
is about the time most of the "Beer Parlour" type of establishments in my
part of the world converted to more of a sports bar atmosphere, and placed
an increased emphasis on food service. Is it possible some or maybe even
many bars there missed the boat regarding what their clientele wanted?
>
>>So New York bars find ways to adjust to the market to ensure their
>>survival.
>>Somehow you think bars in Wisconsin or California couldn't find ways to
>>adjust to their markets? If one possible emerging market is "yuppies" and
>>you decline to adjust your menu because you personally don't care for
>>"yuppies" does that seem like a sound business decision?
>
> Yuppies have been a curse upon mankind since the early '80s. Shallowness,
> greed, vanity
> and wasteful spending have been around forever.
Yes, you've made your feelings clear before, and I don't entirely disagree,
but what about the question?
>
>>>>>>>>>Their favorite trick in medical studies is maniuplating the subject
>>>>>>>>>population, so they
>>>>>>>>>include fast food restaurants that voluntarily banned smoking years
>>>>>>>>>ago.
>>>>>>>>>Another trick is
>>>>>>>>>leaving out a control group -- similar restaurants where smoking
>>>>>>>>>was
>>>>>>>>>not
>>>>>>>>>banned. Then they
>>>>>>>>>point to a tiny 1% sales increase as evidence sales were not hurt,
>>>>>>>>>while
>>>>>>>>>ignoring the fact
>>>>>>>>>that sales went up 20% in surrounding counties due to population
>>>>>>>>>increase or inflation.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>If they keep it up, average citizens will see anti 'scientists' are
>>>>>>>>>liars.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>If, and that's a big if, they are liars.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>California' experience and all the states since then say they
>>>>>>>>are telling the truth: Smoking bans don't hurt business.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Sorry, Robert, wishing it so won't make it so.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Here are facts. The California retail economy grew 26% while bar
>>>>>>>employment stayed the
>>>>>>>same. That means bars fell behind other businesses by 26%.
>>>>>>>The ratio of bars to restaurants fell from 18% to 12%.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>California
>>>>>>> 1998 2006 %change
>>>>>>>Industry code 44__ (retail trade)
>>>>>>>Establishments 106,254 113,307 6
>>>>>>>Employees 1,382,460 1,700,802 23
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Industry code 72__ (accomodation and food services)
>>>>>>>Establishments 62,682 72,849 14
>>>>>>>Employees 1,052,065 1,321,880 26
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Industry code 7221 (full service restaurants)
>>>>>>>Establishments 22,842 26,826 17
>>>>>>>Employees 420,098 532,601 27
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Industry code 7224 (bars)
>>>>>>>Establishments 4,191 3,335 -20
>>>>>>>Employees 29,244 29,270 0
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Control: Wisconsin is a state without smoking bans and many bars.
>>>>>>>Retail grew at a
>>>>>>>sluggish 4% but accomodations grew 18%. Bar employment grew faster
>>>>>>>than
>>>>>>>the accomodation
>>>>>>>industry.
>>>>>>>The ratio of bars to restaurants stayed the same at 66%.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Wisconsin
>>>>>>> 1998 2006 %change
>>>>>>>Industry code 44__ (retail trade)
>>>>>>>Establishments 21,487 21,102 -2
>>>>>>>Employees 309,194 321,788 4
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Industry code 72__ (accomodation and food services)
>>>>>>>Establishments 13,051 14,120 8
>>>>>>>Employees 191,531 225,445 18
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Industry code 7221 (full service restaurants)
>>>>>>>Establishments 4,562 4,801 5
>>>>>>>Employees 82,625 91,355 11
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Industry code 7224 (bars)
>>>>>>>Establishments 3,032 3,188 5
>>>>>>>Employees 13,372 18,013 35
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> http :// censtats.census.gov/cgi-bin/cbpnaic/cbpsel.pl
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Yet smoking bans for bars are still in effect.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Why?
>>>>>
>>>>>Is that your best rebuttal against accurate facts?
>>>>
>>>>It's proof. Money talks. States wouldn't have bans
>>>>if it means losing money.
>>>
>>> Bans are not proof that California bars are not losing money. Nor are
>>> your
>>> lying press
>>> releases. The above is proof the California bar industry declined 26%
>>> since 1998.
>>>
>>> Or do you think the US Census Bureau is in the pocket of Big Tobacco?
>>>
>>>> Look at cigarette prohibition
>>>>in the 1920s. Every one repealed when they found out they
>>>>could tax cigarettes. Money, Robert. Follow the money.
>>>
>>> I followed the money and it led to pharma.
>>>
>>> In 2002, 10 pharmaceutical companies made more profit than the other 490
>>> companies in the
>>> Fortune 500 COMBINED.
>>
>>So this is proof of what? Success in business? Thought that was worshipped
>>in your part of the world.
>
> It is proof the pharmaceutical industry has unrivaled economic and
> political power. We
> will soon be spending more on health care than on government. No other
> industry comes
> remotely close.
>
> Think of it this way. The average family of 3.5 people IS NOW SPENDING
> $24,000 per year on
> medical care. Picture how rich and powerful the automobile industry would
> be if every
> family bought a new car every year.
>
> We don't worship businesses that get caught lying. We punish them by not
> buying their
> products.
But you decline to hold big tobacco to the same standard. What do you
suppose is the difference there?
> Yuppie heroine Martha Stewart lost hundreds of millions for telling a
> small
> lie.
>
>>> The US spends twice as much per capita on health care compared to
>>> EVERY other country. We spend 16% of GDP, $7,000 for every man, woman
>>> and
>>> child.
>>
>>
>>Again this is proof of nothing other than the inherent ineffectiveness of
>>for profit health care.
>>Countries with proper health care systems are also campaigning against
>>public smoking. You think they all bought the con from big pharma as well?
>
> Yes, they did. The World Health Organization campaign against smoking
> ("framework") was
> authored and financed by US and UK pharma companies. It is a prime example
> of imposing
> Anglo culture on the rest of the world.
>
>>> The US pharmaceutical industry is ten times the size of the US tobacco
>>> industry. Pharma is
>>> expected to more than double in sales and profit between now and 2020. A
>>> demographic
>>> bubble of Baby Boomers is about to hit their prime drug consuming years.
>>> Pharma wants them
>>> to live as long as possible.
>>
>>
>>I want me to live as long as possible as well. Maybe I'm just funny that
>>way. Oddly enough, I enjoy my healthy lifestyle. I'm trying hard to think
>>what it is I'm sacrificing to achieve it.
>
> I'm trying hard to think why a healthy lifestyle requires imposing it on
> strangers against
> their will. Is your lifestyle a quasi-religion?
I'm not sure what would constitute a quasi-religion. Perhaps it is, but I'm
not evangelical about it, if thats what you mean.
Nobody is imposing anything on anybody against their will. You can still
smoke. You can still eat crap. You can still spend your evening watching
American Idol. You just can't force me or, more importantly, the employees
of any palce you patronise to do any of the above.