Re: $126 A Barrel - Can $7 / Gallong Be Far AwayOn Mon, 12 May 2008 10:11:50 GMT, Dave Head <rally2xs@att . net > wrote:
>On Mon, 12 May 2008 01:40:05 -0700 (PDT), necromancer
><o.20.tbim@spamgourmet . com > wrote:
>
>>On May 9, 11:20 pm, Dave Head <rally...@att . net > wrote:
>>> Geez, $126 a barrel today.
>>>
>>> Well, in a year or 2, the gas oughta be about $7 a gallon. Chevy Volt should
>>> sell really well, along with some really fuel efficient bikes.
>>
>>I doubt that (gas at US$7.00 a gallon) will happen.
>
>Yeah, I wouldn't bet a lotta money that it will happen. But... there doesn't
>seem to be an end to the price rise.
There has to be an end soon. Otherwise, before long, the rising price
of gas will start pricing people out of their cars - either when they
simply can't afford the gas to drivve to work and/or when they finally
decide that its just not worth it to pay the price for gas to drive to
work and put up with all the crap there just to beable to fill the
tank again. From there, it's all down hill.
>> The main reason
>>prices are high now is that the speculators are running wild trading
>>oil futures and the way that the dollar has been devalued over the
>>last couple of years. Even some in the oil/gasoline industry say these
>>prices are not justified by basic market economics (i.e. supply and
>>demand) and can't be sustained.
>
>Yeah, that's why the research and development necessary to extract the oil from
>the rocks in the NW US, which is a reserve supposedly 3X the Saudi reserve,
>doesn't get done. Even tho it could produce at some smaller $/barrel, the
>people that would have to do the R&D have no assurance that the price of oil
>won't go back down to $35 / barrel overnight, and their investment would be
>ruined.
Not necessairly. If they take some of their record profits now and
start doing the r&d that is needed, then they will have the processes
developed and ready to implement for when it is profitable to extract
the oil fromt he rocks. Of course, they could go ahead and start doing
so if the govt were to give them subsidies like they give for ethanol
and for the way we are subsidizing Saudi Arabia and Iraq....
>>IMO, its going to tip (FWIW, I think it will happen early next year
>>with oil at US$175.00 a barrel and gas at US$5.50 a gallon) before too
>>much longer (much like housing did). I just hope that when it happens
>>it doesn't bring the rest of the economy down with it.....
>
>Yeah, there is that. But $7.00 a gallon would do that too. We can't win with
>this...
That's true. My biggest fear is that energy prices will come crashing
down overnight, bringing down the stocks of Exxon/Mobil and so on and
the rest of the stocks and markets being the lemmings that they are
will follow suit....
>>Personally, I wouldn't mind it lasting a while longer - just to get
>>more SUV's and pick-ups (especially the jacked up oversized tire 4x4's
>>that will never see a dirt road - much less go off road) off the road
>>and into the junkyards.
>
>Why would they go to the junkyard? If somebody sells an SUV, they're going to
>sell it to someone that is still going to run it until it either wears out or
>crashes. Until then, it'll still get driven, maybe even by richer people that
>can more afford the $$$ for gas.
Selling a SUV is getting rather difficult these days. Some dealers
around here won't accept them as trades and many used car lots are
full of them. Eventually they are going to have to go somewhere.
--
"Well, if crime fighters fight crime and
fire fighters fight fire, what do freedom
fighters fight?"
--George Carlin