Re: Will SACD die?On Sat, 15 Dec 2007 16:33:23 -0800, Harry Lavo wrote
(in article <fk1roj0qcq@news1.newsguy,com >):
> "Sonnova" <sonnova@audiosanatorium,com > wrote in message
> news:fk1gop01vub@news4.newsguy,com ...
>> On Sat, 15 Dec 2007 08:21:17 -0800, Arny Krueger wrote
>> (in article <fk0utt02kv6@news5.newsguy,com >):
>>
>>> "willbill" <trek@worldwide,net > wrote in message
>>> news:fjug6l027gs@news2.newsguy,com
>>>> Steven Sullivan wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> Kalman Rubinson <kr4@nyu.edu> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>> Yeah but what are the odds that there will be pure
>>>>>> music audio discs of any consequence on those media?
>>>>
>>>>> *IF* the music industry is at all interested in selling
>>>>> multichannel music, it would be insane of them NOT to
>>>>> move to these formats, since in a relatively few years,
>>>>
>>>> ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
>>>>
>>>> afaik, it's already true *now*
>>>
>>>> i don't know the current numbers,
>>>> but my hunch is that BD and HD-DVD
>>>> players already outnumber by at least
>>>> a 2-to-1 factor (maybe even more
>>>> than that)
>>>
>>> Absolutely not true.
>>>
>>> In terms of current sales, or in terms of units in service, there is
>>> simply
>>> no comparison between the number of traditional DVD players, and the
>>> numbers
>>> of Blu Ray and HD-CD players.
>>>
>>> I know of only one Blu Ray player that any of my friends have. No HD-CD
>>> players at all.
>>
>> According to industry sources, HD-DVD players outsold Blu-Ray players in
>> 2007
>> by a more than 1/3. As far as titles are concerned, they are about neck
>> and
>> neck at about 400 titles each. However, There is four times the
>> replication
>> capacity online for HD-DVD as there is for Blu-Ray and Sony has only one
>> replication facility that can make the 50-gig discs. Blu-Ray authoring is
>> more difficult, more expensive and more error prone than is HD-DVD as
>> well.
>>
>> Both Dream Works and Paramount have dropped their support for both formats
>> and have announced that forthwith, all of their HD releases will be HD-DVD
>> only.
>>
>> Allan Bell, Paramount's chief technical officer also said that while
>> Blu-Ray's higher capacity is better suited for raw data, movies need
>> "minutes" and due to the fact that Blu-Ray uses less efficient Codecs such
>> as
>> MPEG2 video and PCM audio, the potential for greater capacity is lost.
>> According to Bell, using VC-1 or AVC a 30-gig HD-DVD can provide up to
>> four
>> hours of HD playing time. If one needs more, one simply adds another disc
>> to
>> the package, and it will still be cheaper and easier than trying to get a
>> 50-gig Blu-Ray disc out of Sony.
>>
>> Add to this the price disparity between Blu-Ray players and HD-DVD players
>> ($499 for Blu-Ray vs $199 for HD-DVD) and the writing is clearly on the
>> wall
>> for the eventual emergence of HD-DVD as the HD format of choice.
>
> Logical as that is, it is an engineering argument, not a marketing argument.
> And so far Sony seems to be further ahead in the marketing arena (must have
> added some replacment staff since their SACD debacle.)
>
I've read your comment over several times and I still can't make much sense
from it. If mine is an engineering argument, then how come the sales figures
and prices? People always go for the cheaper machines and HD-DVD has more
production capacity, and more big movie studios behind it than does Blu-Ray.
But yes, on the engineering side and the marketing side, HD-DVD is ahead. I
have no real preference as I own both a Blu-Ray and an HD-DVD player (two are
still much cheaper than any of the combo units) so whichever wins is a matter
of complete indifference to me.