Re: San Marino practice, and elsewhereMike Richardson wrote:
> "Mark N" wrote
>> Paul B wrote:
>> What this all suggests to me is that the Bridgestones once again have an
>> edge here, and Stoner has some minor margin over Rossi so far. It looks
>> to me that it will be down to these two, with Rossi riding inspired at
>> home perhaps what gives him a real chance. Otherwise, I'd think it'd be
>> another Stoner walk. After those two who knows, but Hayden needs to find
>> something to stay in it. Once again the Repsol Hondas look very similar,
>> and they did manage to find something in the race at Brno. Checa is the
>> big surprise, and I don't know where he's finding that speed. My best
>> guess for 3rd is one of the Risla Suzukis.
> So 5 michelins in top 10, and 5 Bridgestones. Mixed up quite a bit.
> Stoner is one of many on Bridgestones.
> If only ONE change was made of 0.176 of a second, it would read Michelin
> Bridgestone Michelin.
>
> How, from the facts - and all the homogenous mix of tyres in the top 10 do
> you get it's the Bridgestones making Stoner lead, and the Michelins making
> Rossi not?
What I see are the fastest race tire time of the weekend by Stoner, and
an edge of more than a half second over Rossi - 34.71 to 35.23 - which
is huge. Next is Vermeulen at 35.34, and then West at 35.58. It's very
hard to say, but I think Kawasaki and Suzuki are likely still a bit
behind the others overall, particularly Yamaha. So when you see someone
like de Puniet as high up as he is and the Suzukis faster than the
Repsol Hondas, I think the tires are factoring. It's not quite as simple
as "better" and "worse", however, as to some extent it depends on the
rider. And this isn't a fast track with a long straight, so Ducati's
power advantage isn't playing into Stoner's hands as much. So I think
Bridgestone has an edge again.
> It can't be done - but I would bet my house that if you changed Stoner and
> Rossi's Tyres, Stoner would still be a top two/three player consistently,
> and Rossi would still be far less consistent than previous years. The
> Ducati is a good package. Package, as in machine, rider, tyres,
> technicians, motivation levels.
>
> Tyres themselves are PROVEN not to be the determining factor when you look
> at the actual results, - they are A factor, as most certainly is the colour
> of the motorcycle. It is the selection and use of the equipment (including
> tyres) that is more important - otherwise why don't they finish
> 1,2,3,4,5,6,7?
>
> Rossie and Doohan clearly can't ride, they just had better tyres or
> equipment. Bollocks.
>
> Stoner can ride. The Duke is FAST, and HANDLES, and pound for pound treats
> GOOD tyres better than others = great results.
Sure it's the whole package that figures, but I think tires are the
single most important factor unless a bike is hopelessly bad. Rossi
finished 22 seconds back at the last round at Brno, and Hayden was the
top Michelin at 13 back. If you look at Brno in 2003 Rossi won, the top
Ducati (Bayliss on Michelins) was less than a second back, the top
Yamaha (Checa, also on Michelins) was 5 second back, and rookie Hayden
seeing the track for the first time was 11 seconds back. Tamada, also a
GP rookie and with developmental Bridgestones on his Honda was 23 back,
and Hopkins, on the POS Suzuki and also Bridgestones, was 56 seconds
back. Last year Capirossi beat Rossi by 5 seconds, in a race where
Bridgestone was viewed as having stepped it up again, and Hopkins was 16
seconds back in 7th. The first rider farther back than Rossi was this
year was Vermeulen in 12th. Although it was slowly improving, the Suzuki
990 was a bike that never finished on a dry race podium.
Just one round, but I think what you see there are results largely
attributable to the tires. If Stoner was on Michelins and the Ducati,
he'd probably be doing better than Last year, based on experience and a
somewhat better bike, but I don't think he'd be doing anything like what
he's doing now. Second or third, quite possible. And I do think Rossi'd
be leading the championship now on Bridgestones and probably by quite
some margin, because the best of the other bikes and riders would be on
the inferior Michelins. So far this year he's finished 1st or 2nd six
times, was 4th and 6th in the rain races, got whacked hard by inferior
tires three times, and then got overanxious and crashed in Germany when
he might well have won or at least gotten on the box. In the three races
Rossi won, two had Pedrosa finishing 2nd, and the other Hayden finished
3rd. And Edwards finished in one of the others, while Hayden finished
3rd when Pedrosa won. So it would seem those four races were the
Michelin rounds, Qatar and Catalunya pretty even, and the rest in
Bridgestone's column. Michelin has looked hopeless several times, while
Bridgestone only did in Germany, I think - and Capirossi finished 2nd
anyway.