Re: Today's installment...Will Hartung wrote:
> Mark N wrote:
>> Anyway, this suggests that the purchase of the AMA really had nothing
>> to do with buying a preexisting series to modify and run, rather it
>> had to do with eliminating competition, acquiring track dates, and
>> getting publicity - they were already intending to run what they want
>> to run before the AMA ever decided to bail on the whole thing.
>
> They certainly grasped the opportunity to try and get the top teams in
> to their series. What better way to get good riders in your series than
> to take the tracks and leave them no other real option?
I'm not so sure that's a material part of their math. Of what we see at
the track my guess would be that what they wanted most are the bigger,
sponsored non-factory teams, that's what they need to build around. If
they can build the team component and get some money flowing into the
series, riders will follow - riders will go wherever there are rides,
wherever there is a good paycheck. Right now they just need to keep the
factories happy enough that they'll show up and continue to support some
of those bigger teams. In a couple years when things are somewhat
established, they can afford to finish the job, squeeze the factories
out. If the factories have no viable alternative, then they won't be
racing, and we will be left with motorcycle "entertainment".
> I don't know enough about the politics of what series can use which
> tracks and who has control, etc. But it's clear there is some effect to
> that where Series A says "Well if you let Series B come, we won't
> show.". But, it wasn't a hostile take over or anything. AMA sold it to
> them, and I haven't heard one way or the other whether the AMA folks are
> disappointed at whats happening or not. Not that it really matters.
Well, look at Sears Point, which is owned by Nascar billionaire Bruton
Smith. He owns Charotte, Atlanta, Bristol, Vegas, Texas and Loudon, and
Nascar runs at all of those tracks. The Sears schedule includes as its
biggest event a Nascar race. Is Bruton going to risk rocking the boat
with the Frances by running an outlaw factory bike series?
Look at Laguna, which is restricted to only a few major events per year.
In addition to the two bike races they run a Grand Am race, which is of
course a France property. They strike me as much more likely to rock the
boat, especially if what DMG does is viewed as hurting their GP race.
And my guess would be that DMG will pull the finale from Laguna after
this year, assuming there is no contract on that. I can't imagine that
the series will end up at anywhere but Daytona.
So I think it's a track-by-track situation, but a new series would have
a fairly tough time getting a full schedule on good, safe tracks out of
the box, I would guess. Unless NASBike is viewed as a disaster in
another couple years, in which case the promoters might well line up
behind a better draw. That would take all the factories committing to
that, of course, and something to draw in the better private teams as well.
As for the AMA, I can't imagine Dingman ever admitting he made a
mistake, if it works out that way. That's hardly the legacy he wants.
Don't know if you saw the Ray Blank interview at Soup yesterday, but
it's funny how much time they spend on the AMA. Setting aside Dean's AMA
criticism addiction problem and having to go cold turkey now (I wonder
if he and HR Abrams are on the same 12-step program as our Tom?), Blank
certain pulls no punches on blaming the AMA for putting them in this
mess. And I rather enjoyed his characterization of Moto-ShiT:
"I somehow don't think that, given the option, the customer is going to
decide on the smaller displacement bike. Nor do I think that they're
going to choose the MotoST format. If a customer has an opportunity to
see high-performance sport bikes at their speed and their movement on
the track, versus MotoST, I think we're going to have the same problem
that we had back in the days of Battle of the Twins. Makes you feel that
it's time to get a beer. If the race is three hours long, I would think
that that would be a great opportunity for Anheuser-Busch, one long beer
break for the crowd."
And we have the first suggestion of the OEM's looking elsewhere, a big,
fat hint to any potential partners:
"Is there the possibility of a promoter, or a promoter group, whatever,
that might come up and say, "We understand that you OEMs don't have a
part in this new vision of AMA racing. We understand that there's no
place there. We see this alternative for you. Would you like to play
here?" I think that if a savvy promoter came to the OEMs with an
alternative, and it had all the elements that are necessary—which are
venue, administration, promotion, et cetera, et cetera, the OEMs could
say, "Well, I don't really have a place in this other game." Really,
when I look at the DMG proposal, I don't have to do anything any more,
do I? What do I have to do? I have to make 600cc bikes and sell them to
people who will then make them into Daytona Superbikes, I guess. I'm not
going to do it. If a promoter came and said, "How about this and this
and this and this?" I might say, "Yeah, I'll play." And then maybe
somebody else would do the same thing."
The dice may be rolling already...