Alexey wrote:
> I was just reading the silliness that "And away we go" thread
> degenerated into and something occurred to me. Around 2003, I was
> cornerworking at Laguna and one of my fellow workers told me over
> lunch that he had some "inside info" that a second series of
> motorcycle road racing was on the drawing board, one that would
> emulate NASCAR and would primarily be about racing ovals. I thought
> it was the most ridiculous idea and that if indeed such a thing were
> to be implemented, it would likely not last a season, as people would
> start dying left and right.
>
> Fast-forward to now and what do we have? We have an organization with
> NASCAR ties and one that happens to own Daytona acquiring AMA Pro
> Racing. First order of business -- class restructuring that assures
> that the Daytona round will continue on as a "premier" event of the
> season. But what else could they do with this? We have lots of
> tracks that many think are inadequate or barely adequate for the big
> bikes and would require lots money to be better off in terms of
> safety. But that money would almost exclusively benefit bikes. It
> wouldn't have as big an impact on car road racing at those places, so
> it makes for a rather limited ROI. At that same time, we already have
> a someone proven formula of racing on road courses squeezed into
> NASCAR facilities (Daytona and California Speedway are already on the
> calendar).
>
> Suppose the grand vision is to bring bikes to the masses, similar to
> supercross' inception, by scaling down on the big bikes and
> concentrating on racing middleweights on ovals. It might even become
> a NASCAR pre-show (shudder). What if what we're seeing now is an
> eventual manifestation of the earlier ideas I heard that rumor about?
> If so, it would really really bad. There would be no incentive
> whatsoever to maintain any compatibility with international racing.
> It would explain the rush to uproot all the current sponsorship and
> rule structure.
I suspect the roots of this whole business go back to that first
exploding Dunlop on the banking at Daytona. After a few of those they
told the AMA they wanted to switch the 200 to SSport, which the AMA
fought against, probably suggesting that they try to fix the track
first. After Daytona was ready to pull the whole plug and race WERA 600s
instead, in 2004 the two sides came to an agreement - switch to
first-year middleweight FX as a compromise, and get rid of some of the
banking, no doubt in part so SB and SStock could continue to run there.
My guess is that part of the reason Daytona wanted SSport was all the
close finishes the class has had there down the years. That first FX
year, 2005, Duhamel won by 42 seconds and only three bikes were on the
same lap, the three factory Hondas. As Colin Fraser said recently in a
Soup interview, "And I would assume the other comment [That the AMA had
already outgrown two tracks] is aimed towards Daytona, because there
were two changes made. The switch to the venue for the Daytona AMA
races, and the switch to Formula Xtreme with the 600-based Formula
Xtreme class. I think the people at Daytona International Speedway have
a very clear message that nobody likes their new track, and nobody likes
their feature class. That was meant to be appealing to everybody, and it
was a universally disliked pair of decisions. Maybe one should've been
made before the other, or wait to see how it affects the two, but it
didn't help."
Talking about arriving at the class structure, he also said this: "Well,
I think there were sort of three things on the plate going in. There was
MotoST, which is established. There was Daytona Superbike, which has
been discussed within the confines of Grand-Am, and with Roger and
Daytona International Speedway for quite some time, that kind of format,
and with some of the track owners. And then there was the idea that
probably some kind of liter bike would be necessary, because liter bike
sales are very important."
Now we pretty much know that last part isn't likely true, they went to
LA to talk to the OEMs without any literbike class, although that may
have been partly tactical. But the second part is the interesting thing,
that they'd already conceptualized daytona superbike (the concept
doesn't deserve any capital letters, let alone all caps). My guess is
their plan was to toss the AMA out, run dsb in the 200, make it cheaper,
more stock, more controlled than FX, trying to guarantee close races.
The first class, Moto-ST, was the test case, running it in Grand-Am
events, experimenting with rules, with mixing different kinds of bikes, etc.
Note that we really haven't left DIS yet, all the focus is there. My
guess is their middleweight dsb plan was the way to ease back into using
essentially the old course, including both bankings. As they have said,
the compromise of 2004 didn't work out to their satisfaction.
Then the AMA announced they were getting out of "the promotional side of
racing", which must have changed all of DMG's plans. In the end what
really mattered there was how much they paid for the series, because the
AMA went farther than they originally said they would, totally selling
it off without any future involvement, and how much DMG paid would
suggest what they thought they were buying - just eliminating
competition or acquiring a valuable property to be the basis of their
"vision"? But that's information we don't have.
So now they have a series which runs at nine tracks other than Daytona,
only one of them a bowl, and a number which have very little connection
to the Frances, NASCAR or DMG. Are they likely to dump any of these
venues, especially since they have established bike crowds? They could
expand elsewhere, but these guys recognize that there is a limit to how
many races the current teams can run, given their current financing. In
the longer run I can see them switching, especially if this "vision"
doesn't sprout wings and take off, old fans staying away in droves. The
limited class structure also suggests that they may have been intending
to run this more at Grand-Am races, try to win over car guys. NASCAR, I
doubt it, although an occasional "exhibition" is a possibility, I
suppose. Ugh.
On straight oval racing in general, I can't believe these guys are so
insane that they think that's possible. But expanding into certain ovals
with road courses, ones near large metropolitan areas, is quite
possible. From a western perspective, that's already been tried, the AMA
has run at Fontana, Vegas, PPIR and Phoenix, and are there any others
out here? I also note that oval road courses aren't all that conducive
to watching from the outside stands, can't really see that much. So it's
not all that much like Supercross.
The thing about all this is that it's almost impossible to know what
they intend. Given how half-baked it all seems and how many inaccurate
and even dishonest statements have been made by the principals, they
could be planning almost anything. Or almost nothing, their focus
perhaps not having moved much farther than fixing Daytona and running
their little Moto-ST experiment.
One thing I don't think they will do is continue associations with
"world" racing any longer than they have to. That means they might pull
out of Laguna (if MotoGP doesn't first) and perhaps WSB at Miller and
maybe Barber. If this thing takes off at all it doesn't really serve
their purposes to allow it to be directly compared to real racing. And I
doubt the Red Bull Rookies will stay either - would NASCAR run an
American Formula One training class as a support class? Get real.